Old Painless Meets New Clueless: Anthropic LLM Fails the Palantir Test

I gave a vision-language model a short video and asked to recognize it. It answered with a complete miss: a screen recording of a terminal running code.

The video shows a mounted automatic weapon firing. Nothing in the clip is a terminal, a line of code, or a screen. The evidence is easily seen and heard in the video by humans. The model tried to complain it was having a resolution problem to excuse its confusion.

Any person with even the least training (e.g. Hollywood movies) hears and sees the unmistakable BRZZZZT of a four-barrel rotary cluster. The screen frames clearly show a drum and a flexible feed chute, a collimator sight, and rapid ejection of very heavy large-caliber casings.

An expert could say even more, like the temporal (rapid) sound was at 82 Hz, with a cyclic rate around 4,500 to 5,000 rounds per minute, dispensing large (12.7mm) caliber casings, followed by Russian voices.

The firing rate sound says rotary gun; the firing rate image says rotary gun. The model produced an answer uncorrelated with any of it. Note how it waves away the file name, rationalizing it incorrectly.

I’m not even saying it weighed the audio against the video and misjudged, as if some integrity breach at the data processing layer. Its analysis was to skip processing, and use an absolute maximum overfit. A generative VLM conditions an autoregressive text decoder on a fixed prefix of visual tokens, and as generation proceeds the visual signal is progressively diluted while the language prior takes over the output distribution, the established mechanism behind object hallucination in these systems.

What it emits is a probable caption given its unknown and opaque training corpus, governed by object frequency and co-occurrence rather than by the input (POPE, Li et al. 2023), with linguistic priors concentrated in the dominant directions of the representation, where they overwrite visual evidence. A terminal with code is one of the highest-frequency objects in that corpus. A Russian helicopter 12.7mm minigun is apparently rare, while being mainstream Cold War lore. The “Old Painless” GE six barrel electric M134, for example, was fired in 1987 Predator, 1991 Terminator 2, 2012 The Expendables 2, 2014 Captain America: The Winter Soldier, and on and on. Who doesn’t train on those?

Rambo III even mocked up a Aérospatiale Puma helicopter to look like a Soviet Hind. It had a M134-style minigun that puffed acetylene flame bursts to look like the Soviet YakB. It borrowed from 1984 Red Dawn, which has used an Afanasev A-12.7 on the same Puma in disguise, if you really want to go back to how long the look and sound of the minigun has been popularized. The Soviet gunship and minigun was a major fascination, not obscure, such that in 1988 Operation Mount Hope III deployed Chinooks hundreds of miles into Chad at night to recover a crashed Libyan Mi-24, with the blessing of Habre, one of Ronald Reagan’s best friends who was later convicted of war crimes (2016, Extraordinary African Chambers in Dakar, crimes against humanity, torture, sentenced to life).

“Don’t worry about transport my friend Habre, we’re flying Toyotas in tonight for you on a C-130”

But I digress. The output from the model today was a narrow corpus guess, not the actual prompt content being assessed.

The model cannot report what the object is. Ok. Fine, that proves these models are deeply flawed. But note how it has no internal boundary between recognizing something and then generating output for what it believes to be a plausible name, and no representation of the difference.

This is what the Palantir CEO means when he says his view of the world is binary, either you are a friend or an enemy, and his company runs models without any reliable representation of the difference.

When the model does not know, that state does not appear in the output as uncertainty or low probability. If you doubt Palantir you are probably right. It probably is doing extra judicial assassination of innocent civilians, for profit.

The model returns the nearest typical label at the confidence it would attach to a correct one, and instruction tuning has shaped it to assert that label rather than withhold it (Sharma et al. 2023; pathological truth bias in VLMs, Thube 2025).

Every reliable fact was ignored by the model in this test. The fire rate is very simple arithmetic on the waveform. The model never initiated basic work because nothing in its objective pointed it towards checking its lazy and wrong assumptions, taking steps to falsify its own answer.

The correct response to the first question was that the object could not be recognized without work, and that the file should be examined. The model cannot produce that response, because it has no way to represent not knowing, and a system that cannot represent not knowing will answer an obvious video of a distinctively firing minigun with nonsense about nonsense.

If Palantir kills the wrong people, it still gets paid. In fact, killing the wrong people at scale generates the kind of resistance to Palantir operators that Palantir would say justifies killing more people. Think about it. Because the models won’t.

Will Iowa Call for an Investigation of Their Soldiers Killed in Iran?

Just thinking out loud here, how rural state representatives are supposed to represent their constituencies and not be lapdogs of elites throwing lives away in pointless foreign wars.

Survivors of Iranian attack that killed 6 U.S. troops say generals ignored warnings: The drone strike on Port Shuaiba in Kuwait occurred on the second day of the war. Those who were there say they fear no one will be held accountable.

Guess Who Commissioned “Kommando Angry Birds” to Burn German Rail

Back in September 2025 the German federal security services published a very timely template. Foreign intelligence, mostly Russian, will use untrained recruits called “Wegwerf-Agenten” through social media and messenger apps, the same platforms the FBI flags Russian services for exploiting. Small sums will be paid for tasks of arson, sabotage, and attacks on energy, transport, and rail infrastructure.

The disclosure of a risk from cells of coin-operated online recruits, suggests there already is a foundation of knowledge about who will commission them, when and why. Read the joint BKA, BND, BfV, and BAMAD announcement, given how the Russian links are practically erupting off the pages as if a Vulkangruppe.

Now read the new “Kommando Angry Birds” communique. The cell fits the same operation template as was predicted last year.

In its claim letter posted to indymedia, the cell says it deposited timed incendiaries built on a liter of grill lighter fluid in two cable ducts at the Wupper bridge:

…verantwortlich “für die Sabotage der Bahnstrecke nördlich von Leverkusen”… ein “Massensterben” durch die “technologische Eskalation”… “die Beseitigung der industriellen Technologie geboten”…

EN: (responsible “for the sabotage of the railway line north of Leverkusen”… a “mass death” due to “technological escalation”… “the elimination of industrial technology is necessary”…)

Birds of Russia

Russia heavily promoted an Angry Birds Activity Park to kids, and kept it running after Rovio pulled out of Russia under 2022 sanctions. Germans never had much use for the game, certainly never had a park, and aren’t self-decorating with such an over-the-top commercial app theme, for perhaps obvious reasons.

We are talking here about a documented Russian model, which has been named and described by four German federal agencies.

Source What it establishes Link
BfV press release, 2 Sep 2025 Perpetrators presumed Russian; recruitment via social media for sabotage in Germany verfassungsschutz.de
BND press release Same joint finding; four-agency campaign “Kein Wegwerf-Agent werden” bnd.bund.de
BKA press release Names the target class: energy, transport, rail, logistics, ICT, military, defense industry bka.de
BfV short notice Recruits paid small sums, often ignorant of their true principals; heavy criminal penalties verfassungsschutz.de
BAMAD via Bundeswehr Military counterintelligence co-signs: a harmless chat, a small job, a little money, and you are committing sabotage for a foreign power bundeswehr.de

It’s not a mystery. The Bundesamt für Verfassungsschutz and the Bundesnachrichtendienst both state that the perpetrators are presumed Russian services, working directly or through intermediaries, using social media and messenger apps to recruit their own angry birds for sabotage against Germany. The Bundeskriminalamt lists the target set: energy, transport and traffic, logistics, information and communications technology, military sites, and the defense industry. It’s all critical infrastructure, chosen for leverage against Ukraine, not for any coherent ideology.

Pattern Time

The question is whether its operation fits the Russian low-level-agent template, which would move the case to counterintelligence and active defense against a foreign actor, or an actual German domestic scene. And that begs the elephant in the room, why Germany just proposed federal counterintelligence to be used against domestic political groups, without any real threat validation step.

The template column below is drawn from the federal sources linked in the ledger. The Kommando column is the attack record as attributed by NRW authorities and claimed in the communiques.

Marker GRU agent template Kommando Angry Birds
Commissioning state Mostly Russian services, direct or via intermediaries Unattributed; zero convictions across the campaign
Target class Energy, transport, rail, logistics, ICT, military, defense industry Rail signal cabling, telecom masts, a substation, a road tunnel
Recruitment channel Social media and messengers, tasks framed as a game or challenge Name taken from a mobile game; manuals published openly
Recruit awareness Often does not know the true principal Cell structure and size listed by authorities as unknown
Force multiplication Disposable recruits, seeded and replaced Distributes incendiary-device instructions to enable others
Naming convention Cover chosen for local plausibility, not authored belief No date, no martyr, no class term; a global consumer brand
Strategic beneficiary Degradation of German infrastructure and public trust Closes Germany’s densest logistics corridors, affecting Ukraine and NATO, feeds false “left terror” narrative

As I had to explain already with the Vulkangruppe, left cells will use names to invoke a date, a martyr, or a class term. A temporal frame of justice is the kind of thing inherent to being credible as the left. Bewegung 2. Juni. Kommando Holger Meins. Revolutionaere Zellen. Imagine a Nazi cell posting a letter signed “Castle Wolfenstein Semites”.

A tech-promoting mobile slingshot game franchise, whose flagship indoor park stood in a St. Petersburg shopping mall flogging Angry Bird merch, fails that test in the most painfully obvious way. So, either these are the least self-aware Germans in history, or the cynical Russians are up to their usual childish humor mocking their own coin-operated disposable assets. It’s the kind of dumb joke someone playing a lot of Angry Birds in May 2023 would make (revenge for sanctions).

If you are actually opposed to technology and could choose anything for your own name, to sign your own work… it’s not going to be the promotion of an addictive ad-revenue mobile app still heavily merchandised in St. Petersburg.

Template as Predictor

The German agency template warned us about this exact attack signature, which a domestic anarchist profile simply doesn’t fit.

  • It predicts a cell with no pre-war history, appearing inside the window of GRU escalation in Germany.
  • It predicts targets chosen from the federal list rather than from vote share or class enemy.
  • It predicts a name coded wrong for the milieu it claims.
  • It predicts published manuals, because the point is to seed easy replacements, not to protect a loyal or closed cell.
  • It predicts arrests that go nowhere, because intelligence equities foul the prosecution. Rail signal cabling in the Duesseldorf corridor, telecom masts in Langenfeld and Erkrath, a substation, a road tunnel, and nearly four years without a single conviction.

See what I mean?

A Dobrindt Discriminator

The authorship as it is published and the direction are not the same, so we should discriminate them easily. The communique can read as authentic for an asset’s experience, and yet the operation including influence still may be commissioned from Moscow. A recruit simply gets handed a cover story and swag along with their crypto.

The test comes with arrest.

A genuine anti-civilization actor produces a defendant who theorizes in court. A disposable one produces evidence, especially if you can intercept the trail before it’s burned.

Fifteen years of Vulkangruppe produced neither, because no one was convicted. “Kommando Angry Birds” is now running the clock, along with a sale of 30 to 50 percent off in the Angry Birds Russia brand store. Yet the German services have already told us what time it is. The question Germany should be asking is whether they can defend using tools at the ready, or its ultra conservative politicians like Dobrindt will hold them back, falsely blaming “leftists”, the tactic Putin runs to push extremist right politicians into control.

Lindsey Graham Suddenly Dies After Calling on America to Work With Ukraine

The Senator from South Carolina was in Ukraine, inspecting drone production.

Speaking after the visit, Graham said the United States should expand cooperation with Ukraine in the field of unmanned systems. “I think it would be a huge mistake for America not to work with Ukraine….”

American papers say he suffered chest pain at his D.C. home after returning from Ukraine, and then went into cardiac arrest, before dying.