Bunker-busters and Iran

Remember back in 2005 when Israel requested 100 GBU-28 “bunker-buster” bombs? No, neither do most people. It was in Reuters, as documented here and here, but did not get much attention or spin.

April 27, 2005 09:28am
Article from: Reuters

THE Pentagon has notified Congress of a proposed sale to Israel of 100 guided bunker-busting bombs, a move that analysts said could prompt concerns about a unilateral Israel strike against Iran.

A vague and weakly cited article in the Telegraph was posted a year earlier. It claimed 500 BLU-109 (dumb bombs) might be acquired by Israel to use in Syria or Iran, but it was all speculation.

A report in 2006 mentioned bunker-bomb evidence in Khiam, Lebanon:

The special report was triggered by the radioactivity measurements reported on a crater probably created by an Israeli Bunker Buster bomb in the village of Khiam, in southern Lebanon

This also did not get much attention, it would seem. Today Israel is getting more press for its request for 1,000 GBU-39, a small and lightweight bomb. The AP has the story, posted on Yahoo! news and Salon just an hour ago:

Shlomo Brom, the Israeli military’s former chief of strategic planning, noted an increasing tendency to place weapons underground.

In Israel’s 2006 war against Lebanon’s Hezbollah guerrilla group, “one of our problems had been that they put many of the rocket launchers in bunkers and fortifications underground ,” Brom said.

[…]

Past U.S. sales of bunker-buster bombs to Israel have been construed as a veiled threat against Iran’s nuclear program.

But Brom and Shapir said they did not think they would be used against Iran, where key nuclear facilities such as the uranium enrichment plant at Nantanz are buried deep and hardened by yards of concrete.

“You would need something a lot heavier,” he said. The GBU-39 can penetrate 6 feet of concrete, and “6 feet is not enough,” he said.

The GBU-39, known as a small diameter bomb, perhaps best directed at tunnels and caves used for hideouts or munitions.

Weapon weight: 285 pounds (130 kg).

Warhead: 206 lb (93 kg) penetrating, blast fragmentation.
* 50 lbs (23kg) of high explosive.

Warhead penetration:

* “six feet of reinforced concrete”.
* “more than three feet (1 m) of steel-reinforced concrete”.

Compare that with the much larger GBU-28, which was the subject of the 2005 story by Reuters that I started this post with:

The weapon weighs 4,700 lb (2,130 kg) and is over 19 ft (5.8 m) in length (TI).

Brom’s assessment makes sense based on this data. The bombs are getting smaller and smarter, which suggests to me they will be useful for strategic positions, rather than wiping out giant installations or nuclear bunkers. The only exception I could think of is that smaller means more, so a series of penetration bombs fired on the exact same spot could penetrate far more than a single giant bomb.

However, a complicated combination shot with multiple small bombs makes less sense in terms of risk than a single big shot, based on my pool-playing experiences. Thus I think the latest request for GBU-39 should not be automatically assumed to be relevant to Iran’s nuclear program. The “bunker buster” label is just probably too broadly used.

Fundamentalism like cancer

I just noticed that after I wrote my opinion on the Palin-mutation and how her views are a threat to American freedom and liberty, the Sun Journal says another religious fundamentalist group is being compared to cancer:

Israel’s point man in indirect, Egyptian-mediated talks with Hamas said Wednesday the Islamic militant group is more powerful than the Western-backed Palestinian government and is “like cancer.”

Coincidence?

Acquainted With the Night

I have been one acquainted with the night.
I have walked out in rain – and back in rain.
I have outwalked the furthest city light.
I have looked down the saddest city lane.
I have passed by the watchman on his beat
And dropped my eyes, unwilling to explain.

I have stood still and stopped the sound of feet
When far away an interrupted cry
Came over houses from another street,

But not to call me back or say good-bye;
And further still at an unearthly height,
One luminary clock against the sky

Proclaimed the time was neither wrong nor right.
I have been one acquainted with the night.

Beautiful. Frost, a native of San Francisco and a man who endured great hardship and disaster in his life, was a magician as much a master wordsmith.

This poem underscores common issues of security as it relates to identity — authorization, authentication, and even accounting.

On Happiness

Some views seem to contradict…

by Robert Frost

Happiness makes up in height for what it lacks in length

by Amrose Bierce

Happiness: an agreeable sensation arising from contemplating the misery of another.

by Mark Twain

The best way to cheer yourself up is to try to cheer somebody else up.

by Nathanial Hawthorne

Happiness is like a butterfly which, when pursued, is always beyond our grasp, but, if you will sit down quietly, may alight upon you.

by A.A. Milne

“Well,” said Pooh, “what I like best,” and then he had to stop and think. Because although Eating Honey was a very good thing to do, there was a moment just before you began to eat it which was better than when you were, but he didn’t know what it was called.

by James Oppenheim (no relation)

The foolish man seeks happiness in the distance; the wise grows it under his feet.

Oppenheim’s quote highlights a dichotomy, rather than a solution to happiness. Some might believe in a nomadic lifestyle to find their fortunes in areas of abundance while minimizing risks of drought and hardship, whereas others believe in tilling the soil and building security around the land where they plant roots. The two are opposed in many ways, but I am not sure one will ever provide a perfect solution to risk.