Levitsky and Way’s “Foreign Affairs” Dictatorship Analysis: A Critical Response

The recent Foreign Affairs piece on American authoritarianism fundamentally misses how AI will supercharge authoritarian power in unprecedented ways.

The Path to American Authoritarianism
What Comes After Democratic Breakdown
Steven Levitsky and Lucan A. Way
February 11, 2025

While the authors correctly identify the risk of democratic breakdown, their analysis is unfortunately trapped in an outdated framework that fails to grasp two critical accelerants.

First, they underestimate how AI already weaponizes America’s buried atrocities. Unlike human narratives that often gloss over historical trauma, AI can instantaneously surface and connect centuries of state violence by normalizing it – from President Jackson’s genocidal Trail of Tears to President Wilson’s Red Summer of 1919 leading to Tulsa Massacre of 1921. AI doesn’t miss the subtext of racist deception in the Missouri Compromise or the brutally racist and illegal conquest of Texas and Florida to expand slavery. It can relentlessly illuminate how “America First” movements always consistently and repeatedly enabled American race-based authoritarianism since the late 1800s.

The authors vaguely suggest institutional guardrails could contain authoritarian power. But they fail to recognize how AI can weave foundational historical threads into devastating narratives that undermine faith in those very institutions. When AI connects the dots between a past of systemic state violence and the present institutional power of non-governmental “efficiency” (totalitarian) mercenaries called DOGE, it becomes much harder to believe in the protective power of courts or federalism.

Second, they dramatically underestimate the velocity of AI-powered narrative control. Their analysis feels like watching someone explain how decades of prior print media will hold the line on public opinion in 1933, while completely missing how the Nazi regime flooded radio waves and totally rewrote reality in just three months. 2025 AI is far more powerful than 1933 radio – it can generate, target, and amplify hateful messages at a scale that makes Hitler’s genocidal machines look primitive.

The authors worry about gradual institutional capture through bureaucratic maneuvering. But they miss how AI can simply flatten institutional resistance through overwhelming narrative force.

Why bother carefully pressuring judges and abiding by them when AI can flood every platform with unaccountable sock puppet messages demanding targeting judges to be eliminated if “woke” or opposed to “efficiency”? Already the White House has announced they will be “looking into” any judge who disagrees with “efficiency”. The speed and scale of AI-powered propaganda makes the old ways of careful institutional analysis feel quaint, like marching troops with slow-firing inaccurate muskets into a machine gun. Domain shifts are devastating to analysis that doesn’t account for what’s changed.

Therefore the Foreign Affairs assessment is not just wrong, it’s dangerously overconfident in the way that reduces opposition to mass unjust incarceration and death. By suggesting American institutions can weather authoritarian pressure through quaint concepts of traditional resistance, they underestimate how AI already fundamentally changes the game.

Quantum threats are basically here and some people still don’t know how to change their passwords.

Does anyone really think executive orders pumped out by the hundreds aren’t being written with software? Does anyone really not understand why a few college-aged kids who barely write software are being called “auditors” of “efficiency” on a highly complex financial system they can’t possibly understand?

They are feeding all, and I mean all, American citizen data into Elon Musk’s private unsafe AI infrastructure and asking it “what would Hitler do, in the voice of Goebbels?”

This won’t be a slow erosion of democracy through bureaucratic weaponization, waters creeping up on those who don’t have boats. It already is a tsunami-level warning of AI-powered narrative control that will catastrophically sweep away democratic institutions faster than any previous authoritarian transition.

The authors claim America won’t face “classic dictatorship.” But by failing to grasp how AI supercharges authoritarian power, they miss that we’re facing something potentially worse – a form of technologically-enhanced authoritarianism that could exceed anything in history. And this “Technocracy” disaster has been many decades in the making, a Musk family obsession since the 1930s as proven out in South African apartheid, not something political scientists today should be unfamiliar with.

Elon Musk’s grandfather making national security news with racist totalitarian “Technocracy”. Source: The Leader-Post, Regina, Saskatchewan, Canada, Tue, Oct 8, 1940, Page 16
Elon Musk repeatedly promoted fascism on social media such as polling followers whether he should bring his Grandfather’s racist totalitarian Technocracy back by “colonizing Mars” and ignoring all laws. Source: Twitter

In case Elon Musk’s encoded speech pattern is unclear, planet “Mars” is used (incorrectly) to promote open violation of the law and disobeying law enforcement, like saying America will finally be as good as Mars when the white men who occupy it can’t be regulated: Occupy Mars = Aryan Nation.

We all know the children’s tale about what comes next if we don’t understand the threat. The institutional safeguards appear as straw huts against a coming huff-a-puff wolf. We need to wake up to the true scale and speed of the threat before it’s too late.

The simple reality is this: AI-powered authoritarianism won’t respect and carefully navigate around slow democratic institutions – it will overwhelm them in raw narrative force at unprecedented speeds causing disasters to force surrender and complacency.

To put it another way, Nazi generals carelessly sped full speed into France to overwhelm their targets while leaving themselves dangerously exposed. The French capitulated and resolved themselves to occupation instead of rapid counter attack that would have destroyed the Nazis. General Grant understood this in the 1860s yet the French didn’t grasp adequately the domain shift tactics of radios, planes and trucks.

The Foreign Affairs authors are analyzing how to defend against 20th century authoritarianism while missing that an AI invasion force already has landed and is expanding. They’re not just wrong about defenses, they’re complacent and leaving America dangerously unguarded.

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