The FIRST founder has warned that a high level attack on national infrastructure is imminent:

In his keynote address to the conference Richard Pethia, one of FIRST’s founders, director of the Carnegie Mellon University Computer Emergency Response Team Co-ordination Centre, said that a high-level attack would happen “sooner or later.”

He added: “I’m not saying whether or not the attack will succeed in crippling a national utility system, but I do believe it will certainly shake it up a lot.”

Oh, whoops, he said that in the summer of 2006.

I agree in general with his comments that law enforcement needs to be more connected with IT security, but his predictions do not seem to have come true. Then again, he did say “or later”….