Deutsche Welle has had the best coverage I have seen anywhere of the nuclear disaster unfolding in Japan. The interview with analysis of Chernobyl and Three Mile Island, for example, was extremely useful to understand the various risks in different reactors.
Chancellor Angela Merkel announced Tuesday that seven of Germany’s 17 nuclear power stations would be shut down, at least until the end of a three-month moratorium on the extension of the lifespans of Germany’s nuclear stations.
The decision was made as a direct result of the nuclear disaster currently unfolding at the Fukushima nuclear power plant in Japan.
Merkel is banking on the fact that Japan has brought new risk calculation data to light. Her opposition is not buying it. They accuse her of ignoring the risk before the disaster.
Sigmar Gabriel, head of the Social Democratic Party (SPD) was withering on Merkel’s new plan: “She claimed then that all safety concerns in German nuclear power stations had been cleared up, and she claimed we needed nuclear power in Germany. Now we know that none of that was true.”
With 80% of Germans now said to oppose nuclear energy, it could just be a wise political move but it is still good to see infrastructure security receive serious attention.
The effect of Japan’s unfolding nuclear catastrophe on Germans could not be clearer. After the protests in Baden-Württemberg on Saturday, an estimated 110,000 people demonstrated in 450 German towns on Monday against the extension of nuclear power.
Up to 100,000 people protested at the Wisconsin state Capitol on Saturday against a new law curbing the union rights of public workers that is seen as one of the biggest challenges in decades facing U.S. organized labor.
Wow, perspective. More Americans are protesting in Wisconsin today than during the Vietnam war; about the same as the number protesting today’s nuclear crisis in Germany.
The prosperity of cities and countryside of the late 1940s England, France, Italy, etc. benefited significantly from inexpensive and “off-grid” two-wheeled technology — these economies all were rebuilt on bicycles.
When I lived in London in the 1990s and studied post-WWII History, I regularly noticed this kind of footnote (pun not intended) on two-wheeled transportation for much of Europe.
My curiosity in European cycling might have been a bit biased, as I myself rode a bicycle everywhere and everyday (spinning through the dark rainy days along dirty double-decker red buses, black cabs and the anti-terror Ring of steel that obfuscated downtown London).
It wasn’t just a link with history. The math of cycling appealed to me: A car at that time would have taken at least 30 minutes plus parking time for me to go from home to the city. I could ride a bus for 45 minutes plus waiting, take the train for 30 minutes plus waiting, or… I could go door-to-door on a bike in just 20 minutes.
Besides saving money, the time I saved on a bicycle made the choice obvious (I have to admit I did not properly account for the pollution/health costs caused by lax vehicle emission laws).
Despite these simple calculations, I usually found at all times I was the only cyclist on any London roads.
It seemed odd to not see others on bikes especially since London had been through a period of extremely popular two-wheel transportation use in the past that had proved their value.
Take for example this video of the Cyclist Touring Club from Britain, which talks of “rediscovering common humanity” and “getting rid of our enemies” in the 1950s:
Another good example is the light scooter industry of Italy — a result of the war industry. While bicycles were obviously popular, after 1945 the prevalence of metal tubes (frame), wheels, tires and sheet metal manufacturing for Axis war planes was re-purposed into two-wheeled transportation. It all started with the single model motor scooter in 1946 by Piaggio & Co. SpA of Pontedera, Italy
I won’t go into why people moved away from these logical options for transportation and to the illogical gasoline automobile. Kunstler does a good job of that in The Geography of Nowhere. Instead, I want to point out here that the recent tsunami devastation in Japan is showing a sudden uptick in two-wheeled commuters.
Bicycles sold like hotcakes at supermarkets and bike shops after Friday’s megaquake shut down train services in the Tokyo metropolitan area, attracting local residents — and people from farther afield — who wanted to cycle home instead of facing the prospect of walking for several hours.
Disaster planners should not underestimate the importance and resilience of two-wheel transportation (and power generation), especially given recent advances in motorcycle ambulances in Africa that greatly reduce mortality rates.
WWI cycle engineering eerily still seems modern in concept
A bicycle ride to a data center, office or even a hospital might seem ridiculous until you take a good look at these disasters and factor transportation dependencies. The next days and weeks unfortunately will illustrate the automobile infrastructure weakness as well as how gasoline hoarding by automobile owners can negatively impact recovery.
The growth of automobiles always has been based on questionable assumptions about the government’s ability to collect taxes in order to protect and provide smooth highways, right-of-way, and inexpensive fuel. A national disaster puts these assumptions in a very different light. It shifts the economic playing field and puts the automobile back into its more natural disadvantaged state.
The biggest irony of this all, perhaps, is how often I find avowed libertarians driving exactly the kind of inefficient cars that depend heavily on the commonality of infrastructure and centralized services — only after a national disaster do they realize that a gas-guzzling shiny and fragile “success-mobile” is the ultimate sign of their unsustainable yet socialist tendencies.
Paul Doom, 22, from Navarre, Florida, was training in preparation to join the US Marines, until he became extremely ill from swimming in the Gulf of Mexico.
“I stopped swimming in July because I started having severe headaches that wouldn’t go away,” Doom told Al Jazeera. “But each time I went to the doctor they dismissed it.”
In October, Doom began to have internal bleeding, but this too was dismissed by doctors. In November, when it worsened, he was given pain medications in the Emergency Room and was told it would pass. Less then three weeks after that, Doom collapsed with a seizure.
“Since then, I’ve had two blood tests for Volatile Organic Compounds [VOC’s] which are in BP’s oil and dispersants, and they both came back with alarmingly high levels,” he said.
Since the onset of his symptoms, Doom has been dealing with ongoing internal bleeding, nose bleeds, bleeding from his ears, blood in his stool, headaches, severe diarrhea, two to five seizures per day, paralysis in his left leg and arm, and failing vision.
“A toxicologist that interpreted my blood VOC results told me they didn’t know how I was alive,” Doom explained. “My Hexane was off the charts, and I have 2 and 3 Methylpentane, Iso-octane, Ethylbenze, and mp-Xylene.”
Pick your favorite bogeyman. The latest outsider attack is probably their fault…
My presentation at BSidesSF this year tried to make the argument that attribution is harder than ever online. Attackers make extensive use of proxies and remote control, so it can be very difficult to trace all the points back to an actual person…and even if you do, they may only be one of a thousand mules following instructions. It was gratifying to hear General Alexander at the RSA keynote on February 17th after my presentation admit to his audience “We don’t have situational awareness”.
I could go into the complicated philosophy of why attribution is a double-edged sword (e.g. users on the Internet do not want to sacrifice their privacy) or go into the long history of technical issues with attribution (e.g. smurfing), but instead I just want to point out the two most recent spectacular attribution failures.
First, WordPress suffered a denial of service attack that came from systems in China. I asked my audience at BSidesSF “how many people in the audience use products made in China” and the entire room raised their hand. Granted, there were only three people in the room (jk), but my point is that “it came from China” should be immediately discounted as a strong attribution link. If a weapon found after an attack has “from China” stamped on it, investigators should not jump to the conclusion that the attacker therefore must also be from China. Even worse is to super-impose Chinese state motives onto a suspected Chinese attacker, all because the weapon is “from China”.
WordPress said last week the attacks might have been politically motivated and aimed at an unnamed Chinese-language blog, but it no longer has that view.
“Don’t think it’s politically motivated anymore,” WordPress Founder Matt Mullenweg said in an e-mail to IDG News Service. “However the attacks did originate in China.”
Mullenweg did not elaborate on the change in view or offer details on the source of the attacks.
Second, I have a lot of respect for Ralph Langner who has been credited with exposing the details of the Stuxnet attack. When I listened to his recent interview he made points like Stuxnet was very basic because it did not need to be complex and Stuxnet was directed at Natanz, never at Busheir. Why did he say at first it was probably directed at Busheir? In the interview he said it was because he assumed that would be a target of Mossad…in other words, his bias on international politics overshadowed his analysis of the facts. He recently reiterated it was the Mossad.
“My opinion is that the Mossad is involved,” Ralph Langner said while discussing his in-depth Stuxnet analysis at a prestigious TED conference in the Southern California city of Long Beach.
We should not lose sight of the fact that he already has admitted he made one serious mistake because he believed Mossad was to blame before his investigation started. The Mossad certainly has a lot of people spooked, but every suspicious bird and rock is not necessarily their handiwork.
Every piece of dog poop you see, on the other hand, should in fact be attributed to the CIA.
I appreciate Langner’s honest, clear and open style; yet it seems when he switches to geopolitical analysis he overlooks important data points like the significance of Pakistan and German intelligence operations.
Note the recent mass exodus of US special forces and operatives from Pakistan after the arrest of Davis. The US denies he was anything more than a diplomat, but let’s face the fact that a fight with Afghans and Iranians makes Pakistan a really good proxy. The British certainly made this point when they told the CIA under Tenet that Iran was stealing nuclear secrets from Pakistan. Without the Davis incident (he killed two motorcyclists that probably were trying to assassinate him) we would have far less data on how Pakistani operations might be attributed back to American objectives. Instead an exodus of US operatives now is suggested by some to be related to the drop in US drone attacks in Afghanistan (e.g. disruption of intelligence channels); it probably also is impacting other Pakistan-originated operations that could affect Iran (e.g. Stuxnet).
While there is a case to be made that Pakistan has been a proxy to US and Israeli objectives, that is far from achieving attribution. Maybe Britain was acting on its own, with the support of Germany, on behalf of the US. Time will tell and probably reveal a more complicated picture than we might believe today; and that is just for the physical world. Take for example the overthrow of Iran’s Mossadegh in 1953. It served British objectives, but today we know it was an American-led operation masked to look like an insider revolt against nationalism, despite the fact that the prior year Iran’s nationalist movement fit American interests. Attribution of crowd events was hard. Attribution of Internet crowd events is even harder.
