Category Archives: Energy

“Dark February” falls upon Nigeria

More bad news for the petroleum industry:

The Movement for the Emancipation of the Niger Delta [MEND] has given oil companies and their employees until midnight on Friday night to leave the region.

It recently blew up two oil pipelines, held four foreign oil workers hostage and sabotaged two major oilfields.

The group wants greater control of the oil wealth produced on their land.

The warning came as militants and the army exchanged fire after a government helicopter gunship attacked barges allegedly used by smugglers to transport stolen crude oil.

This seems to be the nature of artifically high concentratons and control of “natural” resources, which I wrote about here. The rebels are apparently smuggling oil out in exchange for weapons in Eastern Europe. The economic considerations are obvious and bring to mind the massive impact biofuel could have on both weapon exports and the related fight for control of petroleum.

Windshield washer fluid and privacy

I attended a panel discussion yesterday on identity management and privacy. One of the pundits made the observation, in a rather ostentatious manner, that he had been asked for his address when he tried to buy windshield washer fluid at a store. “Kragen shall remain nameless…they had no business reason for this information” he thundered.

Unfortunately, this is the kind of uninformed position that is all too common in information security. People get their shorts up in a bunch about privacy, which is all fine and good, but then they seem to think that everything must be an invasion of their personal rights even though they do not take even the most basic step to confirm/review the risks in their entirety.

Call it the uninformed consumer, if you will, but this guy had all the hallmarks of an American cultural tradition of shoot first, ask questions later. Not the sort of thing I would have expected from a panel at RSA. In fact, the presenter said he was forced to exit the store without his washer fluid — the business was plain wrong and they lost his business. Good for him, but did he try to find out why a business might be forced by the authorities to treat windshield washer fluid as a controlled substance (as opposed to just a random opportunity for marketing data)?

Anyone familiar with engine tuning or meth lab investigations knows the market dynamics of windshield washer fluid (about 30% methanol), not to mention the market for the bottles themselves. Moreover, anyone familiar with the properties of methanol knows the environmental and health impact of its widespread use for illegal purposes.

This begs the question of how effective the control might be (e.g. compared to removing the methanol from the fluid, since even in normal/legal use it’s a toxic substance that is being sprayed into the air and all over the roads that people live on), but in this instance I just wanted to point out that a store is unlikely to let the employees know why they have to ask for the address/information, but at the same time the consumers might be happy to know that the police are trying to cut down on highly-toxic uses of meth in their neighborhood.

This reminds me of Cory Doctorow’s explosive reaction to an American Airlines screener (for now I’ll skip the more well-known example of the hunt for WMD). Profiling is a critical component of our every day lives and people need to learn to seek and sufficiently understand an “other” perspective before they rush into action and demand reform/justice. There are few things more counterproductive in security than reacting to the symptoms and causing widespread outages. In fact, if more people just did a little bit of “root cause” analysis, we might find a more informed and democratic path of resolution for real and present dangers to their livelihood. This would actually help law enforcement by taking the burden of ad hoc policy creation away so they can get back to their proper focus on enforcement.

China backs down on aid-for-oil in Sudan?

The Economist reports that as the crisis in western Sudan continues to worsen, the UN finally might actually be asked to engage.

SINCE the tragedy in Darfur, Sudan’s western region, began three years ago, at least 200,000 people — some say more than 300,000 — have died; another 2m, in a population of 6m, have been displaced, many of them fleeing across the border into Chad; […] Now, belatedly, the UN is likely, as a last resort, to send blue helmets to Darfur. The United States, which two years ago accused the Sudanese government of genocide, is driving the plan, and opposition to it is fading. The Sudanese government in Khartoum, which has armed and encouraged the mounted Arab militias, or janjaweed, responsible for most of the killing, has stopped denouncing the UN intervention idea out of hand. The AU, whose peacekeepers have proved sadly unable to stop the janjaweed’s campaign of rape, murder and pillage, has acknowledged that it needs the UN’s help. And even China, which had opposed any UN intervention for fear of annoying Sudan’s murderous government, from which it buys vast dollops of oil, is now unlikely to object.

Most of the oil companies have withdrawn from the Sudan already, while China has taken the opportunity to expand control of the oil companies and establish itself as the Sudan’s largest trading partner. And yet, as the article points out, the UN presence might actually be a NATO mission in conjunction with the African Union.

It’s not clear if this supports the Whitehouse strategy or is happening in spite of it, since Bush quietly lobbied to neuter the Darfur Peace and Accountability Act in Congress (apparently as the Sudanese government was seen as an ally in the war on terror).

China had claimed to be innocently perfoming aid-for-oil through “non-interference in domestic affairs”, but in reality they armed the Islamic government in Khartoum, undoubtedly leading directly to the genocide in Darfur through air/ground superiority. On the other hand they also provided a fair number of soldiers to the UN for other conflict areas in Africa. In any case, it is clear that the US again may be perceived to be weakening in influence as China’s participation was needed in order for the UN to be an effective force in the region.

One could almost argue that China took a page out of the Cold War playbook and knowingly destabilized the region in order to facilitate investment and then only just approved the use of NATO forces to secure access to resources in northern Africa, under the guise of humanitarian assistance…

The state of Los Angeles

Smog Layer Amazing. The New York Times reported that more than a quarter of the smog in Los Angeles is generated in China, and it may soon increase to a third or more. This reminds me of two things, the death of the German forests due to acid rain and the supposed fall-out down-wind (e.g. the jetstream flows from Asia into the US) from nuclear warfare. Looking out the plane window last evening I couldn’t help but notice a thick brown layer hovering over LA. For some reason that reminded me of noisy drunk Bulgarians smoking profusely as we shared cabins on a train out of Denmark. If I hunched over far enough (waist-height) I found I could keep my head just below the dense hovering smoke, but it was uncomfortable and still smelled bad.

Soup of Los Angeles The mish-mash of developments also stood out as vastly different than the old science fiction predictions of gleaming lights and shiny buildings all competing for your attention in a dark pitch. Instead I found myself gazing across a bland grey-brown mish-mash; unremarkable features crammed together to form a meaningless and seemingly infinite series of criss-cross homes, warehouses, and roads. The future may not be so much about confidentiality as simple integrity. An overwhelming amount of data can create a kind of secrecy, but the ability to find meaning in the mess is likely to be seriously threatened.

Unusually open road in LAAnd that brings me to driving in LA. The new GPS navigation tools are far superior to their predecessors. I was able to punch in my destination and then sit back as a soothing european-accented cyber-female voice kept me on track, “left, then right, then left, then right again”. An impossible maze with some of the worst drivers in the world, yet my navigator was able to present meaningful data with only two minor mistakes. The locals fervently try to wash their vehicles into a gleaming and shiny spot of pride, but in reality nothing really stands out other than the ongoing sea of brake-lights and street lamps. A vehicle itself fails to give anything lasting or meaningful (aside from the hidden engineering), especially when compared to a clean park with a fountain, or the ability to actually see clouds and stars. But don’t try to tell that to Jay Leno…

The danger from this awful crisis of data and over-vehicularization seems to have compelled the LA police to consider firing sticky-GPS units at fleeing motorists. The LA Times reports that this is expected to end high-speed car chases. I would expect that countermeasures might be fairly easy to develop, like driving away, jumping out and tossing the locator onto another vehicle, and then continuing to drive.

A small number of patrol cars will be equipped with the compressed air launchers, which fire the miniature GPS receiver in a sticky compound resembling a golf ball, for four to six months as a trial.

Maybe the thing has some fancy hooks or a harpoon-like barb to prevent removal…if not, than I don’t expect a revolution from this technology, especially if a motorcyclist is fleeing. It may help in a few cases initially, but the idea of disabling the electronics on a getaway car seems far more effective to me (particularly since it halts the vehicle and therefore lessens the threat to innocent bystanders down the road). I can see where they are headed, and it begs the question of whether they are trying to fix the symptom rather than address the root causes. Several times last night I was over-taken by squads of squad cars on their way to something urgent and it brought to mind that it is often better to fix the leaky roof than to innovate with mop technology.